Bury vs Workington

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Northern Premier League, Premier Division
?WWLDW
Bury
31.10.2026
15:00
?WWLLD
Workington
MPWDLGPts
7.Workington1573526:2524
10.Bury1271427:1422
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)2.54 : 1.31
History60%6%33%
Model64%18%18%
Days of rest: 3.8Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 03.11.26
Days of rest: 3.8Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 07.11.26

Key probabilities?

Bury62%History 60%Model 64%
Draw12%History 6%Model 18%
Workington26%History 33%Model 18%
Over 1.587%History 83%Model 90%
Over 2.576%History 77%Model 74%
Over 3.553%History 52%Model 54%
Both teams to score58%History 48%Model 67%
1st half Over 0.582%History 81%Model 83%
Corners Over 9.566%History 75%Model 57%
Cards Over 3.542%History 42%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Northern Premier League, Premier Division 26/27 in numbers

Matches played158/483
Goals per match3.28
Home wins44%
Draws20%
Away wins35%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams scored59%
Corner kicks9.0

Head-to-head

1