Congleton Town vs Runcorn Town, Northern Premier League, Division One West

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Northern Premier League, Division One West
?WWDDW
Congleton Town
31.10.2026
15:00
?LWDLL
Runcorn Town
MPWDLGPts
14.Runcorn Town1452728:2217
20.Congleton Town1534815:2313
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.43 : 1.78
History43%14%43%
Model31%23%46%
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 07.11.26
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 07.11.26

Key probabilities?

Congleton Town37%History 43%Model 31%
Draw19%History 14%Model 23%
Runcorn Town44%History 43%Model 46%
Over 1.577%History 71%Model 83%
Over 2.560%History 57%Model 62%
Over 3.538%History 36%Model 40%
Both teams to score57%History 50%Model 63%
1st half Over 0.578%History 75%Model 82%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.50%History 0%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Northern Premier League, Division One West 26/27 in numbers

Matches played158/457
Goals per match3.30
Home wins45%
Draws20%
Away wins35%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams scored58%
1st half goals per match1.43