Merida vs CD Coria prediction and pre-match statistics, Primera Federación

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Primera Federación

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Merida

25.10.2026

17:45

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CD Coria

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
4.	Merida	8	4	0	4	15:12	12
17.	CD Coria	8	2	2	4	12:16	8

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Merida: Little data · matches: 4
CD Coria: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)2.25 : 1.5

History63%13%25%

Model55%20%25%

Days of rest: 7.3Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 01.11.26

Days of rest: 7.3Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 29.10.26

Key probabilities?

Merida59%History 63%Model 55%

Draw16%History 13%Model 20%

CD Coria25%History 25%Model 25%

Over 1.582%History 75%Model 89%

Over 2.561%History 50%Model 72%

Over 3.551%History 50%Model 52%

Both teams to score60%History 50%Model 70%

1st half Over 0.569%History 63%Model 75%

Corners Over 9.550%History 50%Model 49%

Cards Over 3.588%History 88%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Primera Federación 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played160/804

Goals per match2.63

Home wins48%

Draws28%

Away wins24%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams scored52%

Corner kicks9.2

Key probabilities?

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Primera Federación 26/27 in numbers

Merida vs CD Coria, Primera Federación

Key probabilities?