Monaco vs Lille prediction and pre-match statistics, Ligue 1

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Ligue 1

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Monaco

25.10.2026

14:00

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Lille

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
3.	Lille	7	4	2	1	10:5	14
5.	Monaco	7	4	2	1	10:6	14

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Monaco: Little data · matches: 3
Lille: Little data · matches: 3

Expected goals (model)1.33 : 1.17

History50%17%33%

Model41%27%33%

Days of rest: 2.8Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 01.11.26

Days of rest: 3.9Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 30.10.26

Key probabilities?

Monaco45%History 50%Model 41%

Draw22%History 17%Model 27%

Lille33%History 33%Model 33%

Over 1.577%History 83%Model 71%

Over 2.548%History 50%Model 46%

Over 3.520%History 17%Model 24%

Both teams to score50%History 50%Model 51%

1st half Over 0.576%History 83%Model 69%

Corners Over 9.559%History 67%Model 52%

Cards Over 3.567%History 67%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Ligue 1 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played65/306

Goals per match3.05

Home wins45%

Draws23%

Away wins32%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Both teams scored65%

Corner kicks9.4

Key probabilities?

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Ligue 1 26/27 in numbers

Monaco vs Lille, Ligue 1

Key probabilities?