Nathan vs AES prediction and pre-match statistics, Fursat Liga

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Fursat Liga

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Nathan

29.10.2026

13:00

?LLWWL

AES

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
1.	Nathan	13	10	1	2	55:26	31
7.	AES	11	4	1	6	28:30	13

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Nathan: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)5.08 : 0.78

History90%10%0%

Model95%3%1%

Days of rest: 6.2Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 30.10.26

Days of rest: 11.1Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 05.11.26

Key probabilities?

Nathan93%History 90%Model 95%

Draw7%History 10%Model 3%

AES1%History 0%Model 1%

Over 1.599%History 100%Model 98%

Over 2.587%History 80%Model 93%

Over 3.577%History 70%Model 83%

Both teams to score54%History 55%Model 54%

1st half Over 0.584%History 80%Model 89%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Fursat Liga 2026 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played65/83

Goals per match6.11

Home wins55%

Draws9%

Away wins35%

Over 2.5 goals88%

Both teams scored77%

1st half goals per match2.43

Key probabilities?

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Fursat Liga 2026 in numbers

Nathan vs AES, Fursat Liga

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