Reading vs Barnsley prediction and pre-match statistics, League One

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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League One

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Reading

24.10.2026

15:00

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Barnsley

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
6.	Reading	11	5	3	3	23:12	18
22.	Barnsley	10	2	2	6	10:19	8

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.15 : 1

History63%18%18%

Model64%20%17%

Days of rest: 2.8Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 31.10.26

Days of rest: 3.8Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Reading63%History 63%Model 64%

Draw19%History 18%Model 20%

Barnsley17%History 18%Model 17%

Over 1.582%History 82%Model 82%

Over 2.563%History 65%Model 61%

Over 3.542%History 45%Model 39%

Both teams to score55%History 55%Model 56%

1st half Over 0.574%History 73%Model 74%

Corners Over 9.553%History 48%Model 59%

Cards Over 3.528%History 28%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

League One 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played126/555

Goals per match2.83

Home wins40%

Draws29%

Away wins31%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Both teams scored56%

Corner kicks11.0

Key probabilities?

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League One 26/27 in numbers

Reading vs Barnsley, League One

Key probabilities?