Salem Spirits vs Methodist Monarchs prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Salem Spirits

28.10.2026

19:00

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Methodist Monarchs

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
8.	Methodist Monarchs	7	1	2	4	4:9	5
10.	Salem Spirits	7	0	0	7	2:46	0

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)0.58 : 3.08

History25%8%67%

Model4%10%86%

Days of rest: 11Matches in 14 days: 1

Days of rest: 8.9Matches in 14 days: 2

Key probabilities?

Salem Spirits15%History 25%Model 4%

Draw9%History 8%Model 10%

Methodist Monarchs76%History 67%Model 86%

Over 1.573%History 58%Model 88%

Over 2.565%History 58%Model 71%

Over 3.546%History 42%Model 50%

Both teams to score38%History 33%Model 42%

1st half Over 0.580%History 75%Model 85%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2288/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins46%

Draws14%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.66

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Salem Spirits vs Methodist Monarchs, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?