Springfield Pride vs Mount Holyoke Lyons prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Springfield Pride

28.10.2026

23:00

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Mount Holyoke Lyons

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
9.	Springfield Pride	9	2	2	5	8:20	8
12.	Mount Holyoke Lyons	8	0	2	6	3:33	2

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.75 : 1.46

History47%17%36%

Model65%17%18%

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 31.10.26

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Springfield Pride56%History 47%Model 65%

Draw17%History 17%Model 17%

Mount Holyoke Lyons27%History 36%Model 18%

Over 1.596%History 100%Model 92%

Over 2.581%History 83%Model 79%

Over 3.560%History 59%Model 60%

Both teams to score59%History 46%Model 72%

1st half Over 0.584%History 83%Model 85%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2306/2865

Goals per match3.38

Home wins46%

Draws14%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.66

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Springfield Pride vs Mount Holyoke Lyons, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?