St Thomas Celts vs Ozarks Eagles prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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St Thomas Celts

30.10.2026

23:00

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Ozarks Eagles

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
5.	St Thomas Celts	6	3	1	2	8:8	10
9.	Ozarks Eagles	6	1	0	5	4:11	3

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

St Thomas Celts: Little data · matches: 3
Ozarks Eagles: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)1.38 : 0.58

History42%42%17%

Model56%28%16%

Days of rest: 12.2Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 01.11.26

Days of rest: 14.7Matches in 14 days: 0Next match: 01.11.26

Key probabilities?

St Thomas Celts49%History 42%Model 56%

Draw35%History 42%Model 28%

Ozarks Eagles16%History 17%Model 16%

Over 1.556%History 54%Model 58%

Over 2.530%History 29%Model 31%

Over 3.521%History 29%Model 14%

Both teams to score37%History 42%Model 33%

1st half Over 0.564%History 71%Model 56%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2309/2813

Goals per match3.28

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.48

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

St Thomas Celts vs Ozarks Eagles, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?