Arouca vs Nacional prediction and pre-match statistics, Liga Portugal Betclic

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Arouca

1.11.2026

15:30

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Nacional

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
5.	Arouca	9	5	2	2	12:7	17
15.	Nacional	9	2	1	6	10:18	7

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Arouca: Little data · matches: 4
Nacional: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)2 : 0.88

History75%13%13%

Model64%21%16%

Days of rest: 7.9Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 08.11.26

Days of rest: 6.9Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 07.11.26

Key probabilities?

Arouca69%History 75%Model 64%

Draw17%History 13%Model 21%

Nacional14%History 13%Model 16%

Over 1.577%History 75%Model 78%

Over 2.559%History 63%Model 55%

Over 3.535%History 38%Model 32%

Both teams to score50%History 50%Model 50%

1st half Over 0.593%History 100%Model 86%

Corners Over 9.541%History 38%Model 45%

Cards Over 3.563%History 63%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Liga Portugal Betclic 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played80/306

Goals per match2.74

Home wins38%

Draws23%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Both teams scored49%

Corner kicks8.9

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Liga Portugal Betclic 26/27 in numbers

Arouca vs Nacional, Liga Portugal Betclic

Key probabilities?