Barwell vs Corby, Northern Premier League, Division One Midlands

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Northern Premier League, Division One Midlands
?WDLLL
Barwell
24.10.2026
15:00
?LDDDL
Corby
MPWDLGPts
18.Barwell1534817:2413
21.Corby1315717:318
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.76 : 1.16
History48%31%21%
Model52%23%25%
Days of rest: 4.8Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 31.10.26
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 27.10.26

Key probabilities?

Barwell50%History 48%Model 52%
Draw27%History 31%Model 23%
Corby23%History 21%Model 25%
Over 1.582%History 86%Model 79%
Over 2.552%History 48%Model 56%
Over 3.529%History 25%Model 33%
Both teams to score52%History 48%Model 57%
1st half Over 0.570%History 63%Model 76%
Corners Over 9.553%History 50%Model 57%
Cards Over 3.547%History 47%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Northern Premier League, Division One Midlands 26/27 in numbers

Matches played150/457
Goals per match3.17
Home wins41%
Draws23%
Away wins36%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams scored58%
1st half goals per match1.45