Basford Utd vs Grantham, Northern Premier League, Division One Midlands

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Northern Premier League, Division One Midlands
?WLDWL
Basford Utd
24.10.2026
15:00
?DLDLL
Grantham
MPWDLGPts
14.Grantham1545625:2817
17.Basford Utd1242618:2414
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Grantham: Little data · matches: 3
Expected goals (model)1.88 : 2
History31%40%29%
Model37%21%42%
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 27.10.26
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Basford Utd34%History 31%Model 37%
Draw31%History 40%Model 21%
Grantham35%History 29%Model 42%
Over 1.588%History 86%Model 90%
Over 2.568%History 62%Model 74%
Over 3.555%History 55%Model 54%
Both teams to score79%History 86%Model 73%
1st half Over 0.587%History 86%Model 88%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.50%History 0%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Northern Premier League, Division One Midlands 26/27 in numbers

Matches played149/457
Goals per match3.17
Home wins41%
Draws23%
Away wins36%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams scored58%
1st half goals per match1.44