C.A Centenario Uruguayo vs CA Progreso, Liga de Paysandú

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Liga de Paysandú
?LLLWL
C.A Centenario Uruguayo
25.10.2026
14:00
?LDWLL
CA Progreso
MPWDLGPts
13.CA Progreso51132:74
14.C.A Centenario Uruguayo51045:93
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.56 : 1.31
History42%21%37%
Model43%25%32%
Days of rest: 6.8Matches in 14 days: 3
Days of rest: 6.8Matches in 14 days: 3

Key probabilities?

C.A Centenario Uruguayo43%History 42%Model 43%
Draw23%History 21%Model 25%
CA Progreso34%History 37%Model 32%
Over 1.570%History 63%Model 78%
Over 2.553%History 52%Model 55%
Over 3.535%History 37%Model 32%
Both teams to score55%History 52%Model 58%
1st half Over 0.567%History 62%Model 73%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Liga de Paysandú 2026 in numbers

Matches played147/156
Goals per match2.72
Home wins45%
Draws22%
Away wins33%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams scored55%
1st half goals per match1.02