Caerau Ely vs Llantwit Major prediction and pre-match statistics, Cymru South

Cymru South

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Caerau Ely

23.10.2026

19:45

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Llantwit Major

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
4.	Caerau Ely	10	6	1	3	22:18	19
15.	Llantwit Major	9	2	2	5	8:21	8

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.6 : 1.3

History60%20%20%

Model65%17%17%

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 30.10.26

Days of rest: 6.1Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Caerau Ely63%History 60%Model 65%

Draw19%History 20%Model 17%

Llantwit Major19%History 20%Model 17%

Over 1.595%History 100%Model 90%

Over 2.572%History 70%Model 75%

Over 3.552%History 50%Model 55%

Both teams to score69%History 70%Model 67%

1st half Over 0.575%History 80%Model 70%

Corners Over 9.541%History 48%Model 35%

Cards Over 3.568%History 68%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Caerau Ely vs Llantwit Major, Cymru South