Caltech Beavers vs Chapman Panthers prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Caltech Beavers

17.10.2026

22:00

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Chapman Panthers

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
3.	Chapman Panthers	9	5	1	3	10:8	16
9.	Caltech Beavers	8	0	0	8	1:37	0

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Caltech Beavers: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)0.58 : 3.08

History17%17%67%

Model4%10%86%

Days of rest: 2.9Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 22.10.26

Days of rest: 2.8Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 22.10.26

Key probabilities?

Caltech Beavers10%History 17%Model 4%

Draw13%History 17%Model 10%

Chapman Panthers76%History 67%Model 86%

Over 1.582%History 75%Model 88%

Over 2.573%History 75%Model 71%

Over 3.554%History 58%Model 50%

Both teams to score29%History 17%Model 42%

1st half Over 0.581%History 75%Model 87%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2288/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins46%

Draws14%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.66

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Caltech Beavers vs Chapman Panthers, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?