CD Comercio de Castro vs CD Chonchi prediction and pre-match statistics, ANFA Los Lagos

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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ANFA Los Lagos

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CD Comercio de Castro

10.10.2026

18:30

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CD Chonchi

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
2.	CD Chonchi	19	12	3	4	46:24	39
5.	CD Comercio de Castro	18	9	2	7	33:37	29

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.84 : 1.75

History46%17%37%

Model41%22%37%

Days of rest: 13.8Matches in 14 days: 1

Days of rest: 6.9Matches in 14 days: 2

Key probabilities?

CD Comercio de Castro44%History 46%Model 41%

Draw19%History 17%Model 22%

CD Chonchi37%History 37%Model 37%

Over 1.591%History 94%Model 87%

Over 2.573%History 77%Model 70%

Over 3.548%History 48%Model 48%

Both teams to score66%History 63%Model 70%

1st half Over 0.588%History 90%Model 86%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

ANFA Los Lagos 2026 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played459/467

Goals per match4.37

Home wins46%

Draws14%

Away wins39%

Over 2.5 goals78%

Both teams scored61%

Key probabilities?

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ANFA Los Lagos 2026 in numbers

CD Comercio de Castro vs CD Chonchi, ANFA Los Lagos

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