Clark Cougars vs Smith Bears prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Clark Cougars

10.10.2026

18:00

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Smith Bears

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
7.	Clark Cougars	7	2	2	3	10:12	8
12.	Smith Bears	7	0	1	6	2:20	1

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Clark Cougars: Little data · matches: 4
Smith Bears: Little data · matches: 2

Expected goals (model)2.5 : 1

History50%38%13%

Model70%17%13%

Days of rest: 2.8Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 14.10.26

Days of rest: 2.8Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 14.10.26

Key probabilities?

Clark Cougars60%History 50%Model 70%

Draw27%History 38%Model 17%

Smith Bears13%History 13%Model 13%

Over 1.587%History 88%Model 86%

Over 2.559%History 50%Model 68%

Over 3.536%History 25%Model 46%

Both teams to score54%History 50%Model 58%

1st half Over 0.583%History 88%Model 78%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played1951/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins46%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored34%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Clark Cougars vs Smith Bears, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?