Don Lebedyan vs Yelets-M prediction and pre-match statistics, Lipetsk Oblast Liga

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Lipetsk Oblast Liga

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Don Lebedyan

28.10.2026

12:00

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Yelets-M

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
8.	Don Lebedyan	23	9	2	12	44:68	29
14.	Yelets-M	23	2	4	17	35:83	10

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.95 : 1.97

History66%9%25%

Model58%17%25%

Days of rest: 10.1Matches in 14 days: 1

Days of rest: 11.1Matches in 14 days: 1

Key probabilities?

Don Lebedyan62%History 66%Model 58%

Draw13%History 9%Model 17%

Yelets-M25%History 25%Model 25%

Over 1.591%History 85%Model 96%

Over 2.586%History 85%Model 87%

Over 3.574%History 76%Model 72%

Both teams to score69%History 57%Model 82%

1st half Over 0.565%History 58%Model 71%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Lipetsk Oblast Liga 2026 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played156/174

Goals per match5.06

Home wins51%

Draws15%

Away wins35%

Over 2.5 goals79%

Both teams scored68%

1st half goals per match1.69

Key probabilities?

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Lipetsk Oblast Liga 2026 in numbers

Don Lebedyan vs Yelets-M, Lipetsk Oblast Liga

Key probabilities?