Elversberg vs Mainz prediction and pre-match statistics, Bundesliga

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Bundesliga

?LWLDL

Elversberg

30.10.2026

19:30

?LWLWW

Mainz

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
7.	Mainz	7	3	1	3	16:13	10
8.	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	12:15	10

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Elversberg: Little data · matches: 3
Mainz: Little data · matches: 3

Expected goals (model)1.83 : 2.83

History33%0%67%

Model24%17%59%

Days of rest: 6.3Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 07.11.26

Key probabilities?

Elversberg29%History 33%Model 24%

Draw9%History 0%Model 17%

Mainz63%History 67%Model 59%

Over 1.589%History 83%Model 95%

Over 2.584%History 83%Model 84%

Over 3.568%History 67%Model 68%

Both teams to score73%History 67%Model 79%

1st half Over 0.594%History 100%Model 89%

Corners Over 9.551%History 50%Model 52%

Cards Over 3.550%History 50%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Bundesliga 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played61/306

Goals per match3.56

Home wins51%

Draws21%

Away wins28%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Both teams scored57%

Corner kicks10.7

Key probabilities?

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Bundesliga 26/27 in numbers

Elversberg vs Mainz, Bundesliga

Key probabilities?