Formiga vs Ponte Nova prediction and pre-match statistics, Liga Mineira De Futebol

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Liga Mineira De Futebol

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Formiga

17.10.2026

22:40

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Ponte Nova

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
1.	Formiga	3	3	0	0	5:1	9
12.	Ponte Nova	3	0	0	3	3:8	0

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Formiga: Little data · matches: 1
Ponte Nova: Little data · matches: 2

Expected goals (model)2 : 0.75

History100%0%0%

Model67%20%13%

Days of rest: 5.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 21.10.26

Days of rest: 6Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 22.10.26

Key probabilities?

Formiga83%History 100%Model 67%

Draw10%History 0%Model 20%

Ponte Nova7%History 0%Model 13%

Over 1.588%History 100%Model 76%

Over 2.563%History 75%Model 52%

Over 3.515%History 0%Model 30%

Both teams to score60%History 75%Model 46%

1st half Over 0.573%History 75%Model 71%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Liga Mineira De Futebol 2026 in numbers

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Matches played16/133

Goals per match3.13

Home wins38%

Draws31%

Away wins31%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Both teams scored56%

1st half goals per match1.44

Key probabilities?

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Liga Mineira De Futebol 2026 in numbers

Formiga vs Ponte Nova, Liga Mineira De Futebol

Key probabilities?