Man Utd vs Bournemouth prediction and pre-match statistics, Premier League

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Premier League

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Man Utd

25.10.2026

14:00

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Bournemouth

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
13.	Man Utd	7	1	4	2	10:10	7
15.	Bournemouth	7	1	3	3	9:13	6

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Man Utd: Little data · matches: 3
Bournemouth: Little data · matches: 3

Expected goals (model)2.5 : 1.33

History50%33%17%

Model63%18%19%

Days of rest: 3.9Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 31.10.26

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 28.10.26

Key probabilities?

Man Utd56%History 50%Model 63%

Draw26%History 33%Model 18%

Bournemouth18%History 17%Model 19%

Over 1.586%History 83%Model 90%

Over 2.570%History 67%Model 74%

Over 3.552%History 50%Model 53%

Both teams to score75%History 83%Model 68%

1st half Over 0.572%History 67%Model 78%

Corners Over 9.551%History 50%Model 52%

Cards Over 3.583%History 83%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Premier League 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played70/381

Goals per match2.89

Home wins40%

Draws29%

Away wins31%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Both teams scored53%

Corner kicks9.4

Key probabilities?

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Premier League 26/27 in numbers

Man Utd vs Bournemouth, Premier League

Key probabilities?