Methodist Monarchs vs William Peace prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

?DWLDW

Methodist Monarchs

25.10.2026

00:00

?LWLDW

William Peace

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
3.	Methodist Monarchs	5	2	2	1	9:4	8
5.	William Peace	5	2	1	2	16:10	7

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.2 : 2

History40%30%30%

Model44%20%36%

Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 28.10.26

Days of rest: 6.2Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 28.10.26

Key probabilities?

Methodist Monarchs42%History 40%Model 44%

Draw25%History 30%Model 20%

William Peace33%History 30%Model 36%

Over 1.596%History 100%Model 92%

Over 2.569%History 60%Model 79%

Over 3.550%History 40%Model 60%

Both teams to score68%History 60%Model 77%

1st half Over 0.579%History 70%Model 88%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2309/2813

Goals per match3.28

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.48

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Methodist Monarchs vs William Peace, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?