Millwall vs Derby, Championship

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
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Championship
?LDLWD
Millwall
31.10.2026
15:00
?DLLDD
Derby
MPWDLGPts
12.Millwall1143418:1815
23.Derby111379:206
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
MillwallDerby
ResultsData 6/6 · 6/6
Wins33%17%
Draws33%33%
Losses33%50%
Points per match1.330.83
Wins by 2+ goals33%17%
Wins to nil33%17%
Losses without scoring33%17%
GoalsData 6/6 · 6/6
Goals scored per match1.831
Goals conceded per match1.331.83
Goals per match3.172.83
Scored67%83%
Clean sheets33%17%
Failed to score33%17%
Both teams scored33%67%
Over 1.583%100%
Over 2.583%50%
Over 3.550%17%
Odd number of goals50%50%
HalvesData 6/6 · 6/6
Leading at half-time50%50%
Level at half-time17%0%
Won the 2nd half50%33%
Goals scored in 1st half0.670.5
Goals conceded in 1st half0.50.83
Goals scored in 2nd half1.170.5
Goals conceded in 2nd half0.831
Scored in 1st half50%50%
Scored in 2nd half50%50%
Scored in both halves33%17%
Conceded in 1st half33%50%
Conceded in 2nd half50%67%
More goals in 2nd half67%33%
Half-time lead turned into a win67%33%
Did not lose after trailing at half-time50%33%
Goal timingData 6/6 · 6/6
Scored first50%50%
Conceded first50%50%
Average minute of the first goal32'22'
Goal in the first 15 minutes17%17%
Goal after the 75th minute83%83%
Scored first and won67%33%
Conceded first and did not lose33%33%
CornersData 6/6 · 6/6
Corners per match6.834.67
Corners conceded per match4.835.5
Corners in match11.6710.17
More corners than the opponent50%50%
Corners in 1st half5.173.83
CardsData 6/6 · 6/6
Cards per match22.5
Opponent cards per match2.331.5
Cards in match5.174.17
Red card in match67%17%
Booking points in match64.1744.17
Shots, xG and possessionData 6/6 · 6/6
Shots per match13.3311.17
Shots on target4.833.83
Shots on target conceded3.175.5
Shot conversion (on target)38%26%
xG per match1.770.79
xG conceded per match1.011.64
Goals above xG0.070.21
Ball possession47%46%
Dangerous attacks46.540.17
Current streaks
Millwall
Without a win3
Derby
Without a win4Scoring3Both teams scoring3

Championship 26/27 in numbers

Matches played144/552
Goals per match2.89
Home wins40%
Draws28%
Away wins32%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams scored63%
Corner kicks10.5