Mitchell Mariners vs Rivier Raiders prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Mitchell Mariners

17.10.2026

16:00

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Rivier Raiders

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
5.	Rivier Raiders	9	5	1	3	21:13	16
12.	Mitchell Mariners	9	1	2	6	6:18	5

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Mitchell Mariners: Little data · matches: 4
Rivier Raiders: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)1.5 : 1.38

History38%25%38%

Model40%25%35%

Days of rest: 6.9Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 22.10.26

Days of rest: 3.8Matches in 14 days: 5Next match: 21.10.26

Key probabilities?

Mitchell Mariners39%History 38%Model 40%

Draw25%History 25%Model 25%

Rivier Raiders36%History 38%Model 35%

Over 1.570%History 63%Model 78%

Over 2.552%History 50%Model 55%

Over 3.535%History 38%Model 32%

Both teams to score54%History 50%Model 58%

1st half Over 0.545%History 38%Model 53%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played1948/2810

Goals per match3.28

Home wins45%

Draws18%

Away wins37%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Mitchell Mariners vs Rivier Raiders, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?