Monza vs Napoli, Serie A

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Serie A
?LWLDL
Monza
28.10.2026
19:45
?WLLWD
Napoli
MPWDLGPts
9.Napoli731310:710
14.Monza721413:157
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Monza: Little data · matches: 3
Napoli: Little data · matches: 4
Expected goals (model)1.96 : 1.29
History58%13%29%
Model53%22%25%
Days of rest: 9.1Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 31.10.26
Days of rest: 8Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 01.11.26

Key probabilities?

Monza56%History 58%Model 53%
Draw17%History 13%Model 22%
Napoli27%History 29%Model 25%
Over 1.586%History 88%Model 84%
Over 2.563%History 63%Model 63%
Over 3.543%History 46%Model 41%
Both teams to score60%History 58%Model 62%
1st half Over 0.554%History 46%Model 62%
Corners Over 9.556%History 54%Model 57%
Cards Over 3.517%History 17%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Serie A 26/27 in numbers

Matches played71/380
Goals per match2.99
Home wins48%
Draws17%
Away wins35%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams scored58%
Corner kicks9.4