Penrith vs Whickham prediction and pre-match statistics, Northern League, Division One

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Northern League, Division One

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Penrith

24.10.2026

15:00

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Whickham

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
17.	Penrith	19	6	0	13	21:48	18
20.	Whickham	16	4	3	9	26:56	15

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.63 : 1.88

History50%6%44%

Model54%18%27%

Days of rest: 3.8Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 07.11.26

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Penrith52%History 50%Model 54%

Draw12%History 6%Model 18%

Whickham36%History 44%Model 27%

Over 1.594%History 94%Model 94%

Over 2.582%History 81%Model 83%

Over 3.561%History 56%Model 66%

Both teams to score64%History 50%Model 79%

1st half Over 0.588%History 88%Model 89%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Northern League, Division One 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played191/420

Goals per match3.63

Home wins50%

Draws17%

Away wins34%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Both teams scored62%

1st half goals per match1.64

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Northern League, Division One 26/27 in numbers

Penrith vs Whickham, Northern League, Division One

Key probabilities?