Penycae vs Carno, Ardal Leagues

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Ardal Leagues
?LLDWW
Penycae
24.10.2026
14:30
?LWLWL
Carno
MPWDLGPts
1.Penycae860215:918
12.Carno82069:226
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Penycae: Little data · matches: 3
Expected goals (model)2.9 : 0.73
History90%0%10%
Model81%12%7%
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 1
Days of rest: 14Matches in 14 days: 1

Key probabilities?

Penycae86%History 90%Model 81%
Draw6%History 0%Model 12%
Carno8%History 10%Model 7%
Over 1.594%History 100%Model 88%
Over 2.580%History 90%Model 70%
Over 3.551%History 53%Model 49%
Both teams to score46%History 43%Model 49%
1st half Over 0.581%History 75%Model 86%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Ardal Leagues 26/27 in numbers

Matches played232/268
Goals per match3.76
Home wins51%
Draws15%
Away wins34%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams scored57%