Pontevecchio vs Bastia, Eccellenza Umbria

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Eccellenza Umbria
?LLLLL
Pontevecchio
25.10.2026
13:30
?LWLWW
Bastia
MPWDLGPts
13.Bastia72146:117
16.Pontevecchio70164:121
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Pontevecchio: Little data · matches: 3
Bastia: Little data · matches: 4
Expected goals (model)0.79 : 0.75
History25%29%46%
Model33%36%31%
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 25.10.26
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 11.11.26

Key probabilities?

Pontevecchio29%History 25%Model 33%
Draw33%History 29%Model 36%
Bastia38%History 46%Model 31%
Over 1.544%History 42%Model 46%
Over 2.516%History 13%Model 20%
Over 3.54%History 0%Model 7%
Both teams to score29%History 29%Model 29%
1st half Over 0.582%History 100%Model 63%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Eccellenza Umbria 26/27 in numbers

Matches played56/64
Goals per match2.59
Home wins48%
Draws23%
Away wins29%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams scored52%