PSG vs Lyon, Ligue 1

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Ligue 1
?WWWWW
PSG
25.10.2026
19:45
?WWLWW
Lyon
MPWDLGPts
1.Lyon742113:514
2.PSG742114:914
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
PSG: Little data · matches: 2
Lyon: Little data · matches: 3
Expected goals (model)1.33 : 1.25
History42%17%42%
Model39%26%35%
Days of rest: 8.2Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 30.10.26
Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

PSG40%History 42%Model 39%
Draw22%History 17%Model 26%
Lyon38%History 42%Model 35%
Over 1.578%History 83%Model 73%
Over 2.557%History 67%Model 48%
Over 3.526%History 25%Model 26%
Both teams to score60%History 67%Model 53%
1st half Over 0.558%History 67%Model 49%
Corners Over 9.533%History 33%Model 33%
Cards Over 3.525%History 25%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Ligue 1 26/27 in numbers

Matches played63/306
Goals per match3.05
Home wins44%
Draws24%
Away wins32%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams scored63%
Corner kicks9.4