Rouen vs Lorient (W), D3 Féminine

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
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D3 Féminine
?WLDLL
Rouen
25.10.2026
14:00
?LDWLW
Lorient (W)
MPWDLGPts
7.Lorient (W)41127:84
11.Rouen40136:121
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Rouen: Little data · matches: 2
Lorient (W): Little data · matches: 2
Expected goals (model)1.75 : 1.5
History25%50%25%
Model44%23%33%
Days of rest: 7.1Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 08.11.26
Days of rest: 21Matches in 14 days: 0Next match: 08.11.26

Key probabilities?

Rouen34%History 25%Model 44%
Draw37%History 50%Model 23%
Lorient (W)29%History 25%Model 33%
Over 1.592%History 100%Model 84%
Over 2.557%History 50%Model 63%
Over 3.545%History 50%Model 41%
Both teams to score82%History 100%Model 64%
1st half Over 0.591%History 100%Model 83%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

D3 Féminine 26/27 in numbers

Matches played48/264
Goals per match4.29
Home wins56%
Draws15%
Away wins29%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Both teams scored71%
1st half goals per match1.78