Sertanense vs Fatima prediction and pre-match statistics, Campeonato de Portugal

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

Open in Prematch analyzer

Campeonato de Portugal

?DLDLL

Sertanense

25.10.2026

15:00

?WLWLL

Fatima

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
10.	Fatima	5	1	1	3	7:8	4
12.	Sertanense	5	0	3	2	3:7	3

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Sertanense: Little data · matches: 2
Fatima: Little data · matches: 2

Expected goals (model)1.5 : 1.25

History25%50%25%

Model43%25%32%

Days of rest: 14Matches in 14 days: 0Next match: 01.11.26

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 01.11.26

Key probabilities?

Sertanense34%History 25%Model 43%

Draw38%History 50%Model 25%

Fatima28%History 25%Model 32%

Over 1.588%History 100%Model 76%

Over 2.551%History 50%Model 52%

Over 3.527%History 25%Model 30%

Both teams to score65%History 75%Model 55%

1st half Over 0.586%History 100%Model 71%

Corners Over 9.568%History 75%Model 60%

Cards Over 3.575%History 75%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Campeonato de Portugal 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played142/728

Goals per match2.54

Home wins35%

Draws34%

Away wins31%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Both teams scored51%

Corner kicks9.3

Key probabilities?

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Campeonato de Portugal 26/27 in numbers

Sertanense vs Fatima, Campeonato de Portugal

Key probabilities?