Sheff Utd vs Derby prediction and pre-match statistics, Championship

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Championship

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Sheff Utd

24.10.2026

12:30

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Derby

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
15.	Sheff Utd	10	3	3	4	14:14	12
23.	Derby	10	1	3	6	9:19	6

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.7 : 1.1

History50%20%30%

Model51%24%25%

Days of rest: 6.9Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 30.10.26

Days of rest: 6.9Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Sheff Utd51%History 50%Model 51%

Draw22%History 20%Model 24%

Derby27%History 30%Model 25%

Over 1.578%History 80%Model 77%

Over 2.557%History 60%Model 53%

Over 3.530%History 30%Model 31%

Both teams to score52%History 50%Model 55%

1st half Over 0.576%History 80%Model 73%

Corners Over 9.551%History 60%Model 43%

Cards Over 3.540%History 40%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Championship 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played131/552

Goals per match2.89

Home wins40%

Draws27%

Away wins33%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Both teams scored63%

Corner kicks10.4

Key probabilities?

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Championship 26/27 in numbers

Sheff Utd vs Derby, Championship

Key probabilities?