Tropezon vs Naval, Tercera Federación, Group 3

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Tercera Federación, Group 3
?DDWWW
Tropezon
31.10.2026
16:00
?LDLLL
Naval
MPWDLGPts
1.Tropezon761013:319
18.Naval70258:182
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Tropezon: Little data · matches: 4
Naval: Little data · matches: 4
Expected goals (model)2 : 0.88
History75%25%0%
Model64%21%16%
Days of rest: 6.2Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 08.11.26
Days of rest: 13Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 08.11.26

Key probabilities?

Tropezon69%History 75%Model 64%
Draw23%History 25%Model 21%
Naval8%History 0%Model 16%
Over 1.577%History 75%Model 78%
Over 2.559%History 63%Model 55%
Over 3.535%History 38%Model 32%
Both teams to score50%History 50%Model 50%
1st half Over 0.569%History 63%Model 75%
Corners Over 9.530%History 42%Model 19%
Cards Over 3.567%History 67%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Tercera Federación, Group 3 26/27 in numbers

Matches played66/306
Goals per match2.73
Home wins39%
Draws27%
Away wins33%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams scored45%
1st half goals per match1.12