USV Hercules vs Staphorst prediction and pre-match statistics, Derde Divisie

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Derde Divisie

?LDWWL

USV Hercules

24.10.2026

14:30

?WWLLL

Staphorst

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
12.	USV Hercules	10	3	1	6	12:22	10
13.	Staphorst	10	2	3	5	16:21	9

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.1 : 2

History20%40%40%

Model20%21%58%

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 07.11.26

Key probabilities?

USV Hercules20%History 20%Model 20%

Draw31%History 40%Model 21%

Staphorst49%History 40%Model 58%

Over 1.576%History 70%Model 82%

Over 2.560%History 60%Model 60%

Over 3.544%History 50%Model 38%

Both teams to score54%History 50%Model 58%

1st half Over 0.565%History 60%Model 70%

Corners Over 9.567%History 50%Model 83%

Cards Over 3.50%History 0%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Derde Divisie 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played179/614

Goals per match3.53

Home wins44%

Draws19%

Away wins37%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Both teams scored61%

1st half goals per match1.49

Key probabilities?

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Derde Divisie 26/27 in numbers

USV Hercules vs Staphorst, Derde Divisie

Key probabilities?