Varea vs Alfaro, Tercera Federación, Group 16

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Tercera Federación, Group 16
?WWDWD
Varea
25.10.2026
11:00
?WWWWL
Alfaro
MPWDLGPts
2.Alfaro751111:716
6.Varea73416:313
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Varea: Little data · matches: 3
Alfaro: Little data · matches: 3
Expected goals (model)0.83 : 0.83
History33%33%33%
Model33%34%33%
Days of rest: 6.9Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 29.10.26
Days of rest: 6.8Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 01.11.26

Key probabilities?

Varea33%History 33%Model 33%
Draw34%History 33%Model 34%
Alfaro33%History 33%Model 33%
Over 1.542%History 33%Model 50%
Over 2.528%History 33%Model 23%
Over 3.513%History 17%Model 9%
Both teams to score33%History 33%Model 32%
1st half Over 0.565%History 67%Model 63%
Corners Over 9.552%History 50%Model 54%
Cards Over 3.5100%History 100%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Tercera Federación, Group 16 26/27 in numbers

Matches played63/306
Goals per match2.90
Home wins51%
Draws21%
Away wins29%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams scored59%
1st half goals per match1.08