Wheaton Lyons vs Coast Guard Bears prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Wheaton Lyons

24.10.2026

19:00

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Coast Guard Bears

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
4.	Wheaton Lyons	4	2	1	1	6:3	7
5.	Coast Guard Bears	4	2	1	1	4:7	7

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Wheaton Lyons: Little data · matches: 4
Coast Guard Bears: Little data · matches: 3

Expected goals (model)2.13 : 1

History67%0%33%

Model63%20%17%

Days of rest: 2.8Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 28.10.26

Days of rest: 7.1Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 28.10.26

Key probabilities?

Wheaton Lyons65%History 67%Model 63%

Draw10%History 0%Model 20%

Coast Guard Bears25%History 33%Model 17%

Over 1.591%History 100%Model 82%

Over 2.553%History 46%Model 60%

Over 3.536%History 33%Model 38%

Both teams to score36%History 17%Model 56%

1st half Over 0.578%History 88%Model 68%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2309/2813

Goals per match3.28

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.48

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Wheaton Lyons vs Coast Guard Bears, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?