Wheaton Lyons vs Coast Guard Bears prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Wheaton Lyons

28.10.2026

19:30

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Coast Guard Bears

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
2.	Wheaton Lyons	8	5	1	2	18:10	16
9.	Coast Guard Bears	8	1	4	3	3:9	7

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.28 : 0.94

History55%10%35%

Model45%28%27%

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 31.10.26

Days of rest: 6.9Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Wheaton Lyons50%History 55%Model 45%

Draw19%History 10%Model 28%

Coast Guard Bears31%History 35%Model 27%

Over 1.563%History 60%Model 65%

Over 2.541%History 43%Model 38%

Over 3.518%History 18%Model 18%

Both teams to score34%History 25%Model 44%

1st half Over 0.564%History 60%Model 67%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2289/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins46%

Draws14%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.66

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Wheaton Lyons vs Coast Guard Bears, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?