Worthing vs Southend, National League

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
National League
?LLWWD
Worthing
27.10.2026
19:45
?LWWDL
Southend
MPWDLGPts
3.Southend1383231:1927
5.Worthing1373327:1824
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.57 : 1.85
History29%29%43%
Model33%22%45%
Days of rest: 10.2Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 31.10.26
Days of rest: 10.2Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Worthing31%History 29%Model 33%
Draw25%History 29%Model 22%
Southend44%History 43%Model 45%
Over 1.586%History 86%Model 86%
Over 2.569%History 71%Model 67%
Over 3.547%History 50%Model 45%
Both teams to score73%History 79%Model 67%
1st half Over 0.593%History 100%Model 86%
Corners Over 9.562%History 64%Model 59%
Cards Over 3.571%History 71%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

National League 26/27 in numbers

Matches played155/552
Goals per match3.10
Home wins46%
Draws18%
Away wins36%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams scored63%
Corner kicks9.9